Filtering problem for sequences with periodically stationary multi-seasonal increments with spectral densities allowing canonical factorizations

Keywords: Periodically Stationary Sequence, SARFIMA, Fractional Integration, Filtering, Optimal Linear Estimate, Mean Square Error, Least Favourable Spectral Density Matrix, Minimax Spectral Characteristics

Abstract

We consider a stochastic sequence $\xi(m)$ with periodically stationary generalized multiple increments of fractional order which combines cyclostationary, multi-seasonal, integrated and fractionally integrated patterns. The filtering problem is solved for this type of sequences based on observations with a periodically stationary noise. When spectral densities are known and allow the canonical factorizations, we derive the mean square error and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimate of the functional $A{\xi}=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}{a}(k) {\xi}(-k)$. Formulas that determine the least favourable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectralcharacteristics of the optimal linear estimate of the functional are proposed in the case where the spectral densities are not known, but some sets of admissible spectral densities are given.

Author Biography

Mikhail Moklyachuk, Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University
Department of Probability Theory, Statistics and Actuarial Mathematics, Professor

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Published
2023-12-03
How to Cite
Luz, M., & Moklyachuk, M. (2023). Filtering problem for sequences with periodically stationary multi-seasonal increments with spectral densities allowing canonical factorizations. Statistics, Optimization & Information Computing, 12(2), 343-363. https://doi.org/10.19139/soic-2310-5070-1793
Section
Research Articles